Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Looking Into The NFL's Future(s): Lock 1 of 2

How freaking awesome is it that September is here?!? How cool is it that college football kicks off tonight, Va Tech/Boise State play next Monday night, and the Vikings/Saints rematch is a week away? Who wants to shotgun a beer with me, throw on some Beastie Boys, and then ram our heads through some dry wall?!? Let's go win some money!!!!!!!!!!!!

Denver Broncos (Over 7.5 wins)
Here at The Yack, we like to come strong to the boards. So it goes without saying, since Denver is our sleeper NFL division winner this year, that we love the over against Vegas' win total for them.

For starters, we love their head coach. Josh McDaniels started out strong last year (6-0), before coming back down to earth and finishing 8-8. They were in a position to make a playoff run with 4 to go, but lost a couple close games down the stretch (to Oakland and Philly), and "ran the table" in the wrong direction, to have an 'O-fer' December.

But that's ok. McDaniels is a Belichick understudy, has a solid first year under his belt, and has a good group of players to work with.

Kyle Orton threw for over 3,800 yards last year, with 21 touchdowns against only 12 picks. And he's having a very good pre-season. Knowshon Moreno ran for almost 1,000 yards last year, even while battling injury most of the early part of last season. Also, the Broncos brought in Lendale White to compliment both Moreno and Correll Buckhalter in the backfield. The Broncos defense (31st last year) is the big question mark, but we believe they have nowhere to go but up.

But here's the deal on this mortal lock wager. Short of San Diego, Denver plays in an awful division, and they have one of the weakest schedules on the docket. Oakland and the Chiefs are pathetic, and at worse, Denver will go 3-1 against those teams. They will also at least split against San Diego. So inter division, we have the Broncos going 4-2, worse case scenario. Their schedule as a whole, is ranked 25th on Strength of Schedule- or in other words, 8th weakest out of 32 teams.

We think Denver has a chance (coupled with Charger fall off) to win their division. With that said, they will destroy Over 7.5 wins.

We will post our second of two 'futures' locks by this Friday. Stay tuned!

please follow www.sportsyackontap.com on twitter @sportsyack and @JudgePatrick

odds courtesy of Vegasinsider.Com
image courtesy of Julio, via Flickr

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