Friday, September 10, 2010

NFL Week 1: Bring Back Keith Olbermann (j/k)

Ok. We got that out of the way. No, not the Minnesota/New Orleans snooze fest, that was an ATS push with most bookies, but the abortion in HD, that was NBC's pre-game show.

NBC, are you serious? Football has been dormant for 8 months, and you're going to fill an hour of pre-game with Taylor Swift and Dave "Ok, they were cool in college- I guess, when our girlfriends would throw in their CD, but they suck now" Matthews Band?

Also, that great, heartfelt piece Brian Williams did with the most important guy in the world (Brad Pitt), really set the tone for me. At least B.Williams didn't sound like a total horse's ass, when he told Bob Costas at the end of the piece that, "if you're going to throw two tragedies on a city in the last 5 years (Katrina and BP spill), then this is the place."

Speaking of Costas, now that everyone and their brother is comfortable admitting that MLB's wild card is cool, and Costas is the only guy left preaching two divisions, two leagues, 4 playoff teams, can we just take him out back and shoot him already? He's pasty and annoying.

And I thought letting Keith Olbermann go was awesome, but filling his spot with Rodney Harrison might not have been the greatest of ideas. Besides Harrison's propensity for losing his train of thought, why did it seem he was in a rush to spit out his "thoughts" as quickly as possible? In doing so, he seemed to always cut off Coach Dungy, and it made for what seemed to be a very uncomfortable set.

Last night's pre-game was a blatant reminder as to why nothing compares to waking up Sunday morning, pouring yourself a bloody, and then letting ESPN and NFL Network set the tone for the day.

Indy at Houston (OVER 47)
We're not quite ready to pass the torch from Peyton to Matt, but we do like over the total here. The Colts have won 6 straight in this match up, and even though we could be approaching the transition phase in this division, we would not touch this game with a 10 foot pole, or in layman's terms, Martellus Bennett's dick.

Now lets set the TREND for winning in 2010, and we've got a few trends that like this wager. The over has hit in 9 of the last 10 games between these two teams. Also, the Texans have played 7 straight overs in the month of September. We'd like to think the up and coming Texans have a shot here (10-3 ATS as a dog, last 13), but lay your cash on a lot of Manning and Schaub shotgun formations, which will lead to a good old fashion shoot out down in Texas.

(Cleveland +3) at Tampa
Oh, yes. The Brownies. As the loyal Yack reader knows, we've got our sack all up in the Browns this year. And if they're going to win over 5.5 games this year, this is one they need and will win.

For starters, Tampa is freaking awful. They will end up with one of the 2nd or 3rd worst records in football, by season's end. How and the fuck they're laying points to anybody, is beyond me. They only won 1 game at home last year, and were an abysmal 0-4 ATS vs the AFC.

The Browns, on the other hand, finished the '09 campaign on a 4-0 run both straight up and ATS. We do like the direction Holmgren and Mangini are taking this team, and we still think Jake D can be a formidable quarterback. The Bucs game in Tampa is getting blacked out locally. And its a good thing for the locals. Browns win this game by 10-14 points.

Carolina at (NYGiants -7)
We love the G-Men here for two reasons. Number 1, its a revenge game of sorts, as it pertains to the week 16 drumming the Panthers laid on the Giants in the Meadowlands, just 9 months ago. Secondly, from a preparation handicapping angle, we like how Tom Couglin approaches the start of the season, better than how Jon Fox does. And the numbers don't lie.

Tom Couglin's Giants, playing in arguably one of the toughest divisions in football, are gang busters in the month of September. They have won 10 straight in the NFL's opening month, going 8-1-1 ATS during that span. That's pretty good. On the other side of the ball, Jon Fox is working with a team thats on the decline, who started out the '09 season 0-3, and 1-5 ATS for the first month and a half. The Giants are under the radar coming into this season, and if Dallas doesn't live up to expectations, Tom Couglin and Crew will be your NFC East division winners.

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