Saturday, December 31, 2011

NFL Week 17: Did We Mention That We're Winning 69% of Our Games?


New York Jets at Miami(-2)
The Jets are not a very good team. And in reality, this spread should be close to a touchdown. In the last month, the Jets were butt thumped by both the Giants and Eagles-two average teams in what is a very average NFC East division, could've easily lost lost to the worst team in that same division, the Redskins, and were only "impressive" in their 37-10 boat racing they gave an atrocious Chiefs team 3 weeks ago.

The Dolphins, on the other hand, have been playing well since getting off to that horrid 0-7 start. They are 5-3 since the midway part of the season, and just last week had New England on the ropes in Foxboro, jumping out to a 17-0 lead before eventually yielding to Tom Brady and crew.

Miami has been a gambler's best friend of late, covering 8 of their last 9 against the number. Rex Ryan's act is getting old, the Jets defense is not like it used to be, and Mark Sanchez is just another overrated USC QB, who has been getting more ass lately than Rex Ryan's right, big, cheese infested toe. Which is all fine and good for the handsome Jet gunslinger, except for the fact that his 4 interceptions and 61 passer rating over the last 2 weeks is not quite as hot as that Victoria's Secret model he's banging. Dolphins


Carolina at New Orleans(-7.5)
Some in the media killed Drew Brees and the Saints for throwing the ball with a 22 point lead Monday night, which in turn led him to breaking Dan Marino's single season passing record. Last time I checked, the Saints were still vying for a 1st round bye with Frisco in the Playoffs, and although this tie breaker won't come into affect, "strength of victory" is 4th in the line for tie breakers when it comes to determining Playoff positioning.

In any case, you play to win the fucking game, and if Atlanta didn't want to continue to get boat raced on National TV, then those dumb bastards should've done a better job defending their side of the field. Props to you, Sean Payton, for having your team play until the whistle.

Which is exactly why we're playing Norleans here. They're still playing for a 1st round bye, Drew Brees is their Quarterback, and they're at home laying a little bit more than a touchdown against a rookie QB, even if it is Cam Newton.

The Saints are getting hot at the right time of the year. Over their last 5 games, they're beating opponents by an average of 19 points per contest. They're 9-0 ATS in their last 9 on field turf, and they're 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Saints


Dallas(+3) at NY Giants
Sometimes you have to do things in life that are painful; root canal surgery, pay taxes, watch Shelley Smith fill in for Jim Rome all of last week on Rome Is Burning, or in this case, bet on the Dallas Cowboys.

How are the Cowboys even in this position? Seriously. The Jets, Lions, Cardinals, and three weeks ago, the Giants- all games in which the Cowboys blew 4th quarter leads in games- other than the Cardinals, that were WELL in hand.

Reports out of Jerryland is that Tony Romo's hand is fine, and he will be full bore Sunday night. That being the case, we expect more flawless Tony Romo behavior, similar to the 4 touchdown, 141 passer rating performance he had the last time these two teams met. Speaking of which...

We're still not sure how the Giants managed to win that game 3 weeks ago. They were down 12 points- not just two scores, but two BIG scores- with 5:41 to go in the 4th quarter. Not to mention they dodged a fatal bullet after their first touchdown to pull within 5, when Tony Romo overthrew Miles Austin by about a yard, which would've been the icing on the cake, given him a 5 touchdown game, and would've sent the Giants and Tom Coughlin packing.

Even if you evaluate this game as two slightly better than average teams squaring off, so you might as well take the team getting the points, that's fine with us. We're just a step ahead of that analysis, because we feel Dallas is the more talented team. The Giants don't impress us whatsoever. Following their miracle comeback, they were dressed down the following week at home, to a bad Redskin team, and then rebounded last week against what we feel is a bad Jets team (see our Jets/Miami analysis)

Dallas is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 versus a team with a winning record, and 6 of their last 8 versus the NFC have gone under the total. That bloated, hairy goon Rob Ryan will have his boys ready to play defense tonight, Tony Romo has another big game, and the law of averages catches up with the Cowboys in a good way- no blowing any 4th quarter leads here. Bet the Cowboys and bet the Under 47.5.


Yack's song of the year- 2011, embedded in the most Americana video since John Cougar's "Pink Houses". Hopefully this song isn't a metaphor for our picks this week and moving forward into the post season. Happy 2012!




Last Week 4-0 ATS
YTD 36-16-3 ATS

Friday, December 30, 2011

The 69 Club

YACK...

All the "Legend" can say is ‘’WOW’’…….four out of four winners……almost 70 percent for the year………I am truly humbled by ur expertise……just don’t fall to pieces in the playoffs like last year……let us stay in the present time and another WOW………congrats……...

All the Best, The ‘’legend’’…a humbled individual who knows greatness when he views it……



Thanks, Legend. 69.2% ATS for the season is pretty damn good. And its nice to be recognized by your peers, even if he's some 70 year old retired Jewish guy friend of my dad's, who resides in Vegas now, and therefore (somehow) refers to himself as "Legend", as it pertains to sports wagering.

36-16-3 ATS for the year, we are, and if we combine that with our 2010 regular season ATS record (35-25-3), we are 71-41-6 ATS over the last two years, hitting are games at an almost 64% clip, which any wise guy will tell you, is frightening good.

We will be giving out another 4 winners this Sunday, including the ATS winner in the Cowboys/Giants game, as well as the winner in the Chiefs/Tebows game.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

NFL Week 16: Yack-Yack's Santa's Wishlist: Dogs. And Lots of Them


Cleveland(+12.5) at Baltimore
Santa's Wishlist: 22nd ranked Quarterback, and guy who might want to be more concerned with doing his job than what others are saying, Joe Flacco, asked Santa to ask the media AGAIN to quit talking about Tim Tebow, and start talking about his team, who continue to lose to shitty teams and/or keep them around in games. Ray Lewis asked for a new knife and an alibi.

Seneca Wallace makes his second straight start for the Brownies, coming off a tough OT loss at Arizona in which Wallace was very efficient; 18-31, 226 yards and a touch. He also completed Cleveland's longest play from scrimmage in 4 years, a 76 yard touchdown pass to rookie Greg Little.

The Ravens are scoring just 19 points/per over the last month. They're also 0-3 ATS this year when laying double digits. Cleveland's D keeps them in it, and Peyton Hillis will see the ball 25+ times like he did last week. Browns


Minnesota(+7) at Washington
Santa's Wishlist: Fred Davis and Trent Williams asked Santa for Whizzinators, most likely in a size bigger than what yours truly would order. Mike Shanahan asked Santa for some new pants, since all of his seem to catch fire when he speaks to reporters.

Hair is what you have hair: two below average teams, whose Quarterbacks have QB Ratings that resemble Lavar Arrington's Senior year English final exam score (Ponder: 72.3, Grossman: 71.4), and whose season's never were headed in the right die-rec-tion. With that being said, we'll take the below average team who is getting the points.

The Vikings haven't been awful when facing non-elite opponents. In fact, the only games that they have been blown out in, were against the Saints, Green Bay, and at Chicago, before Jay Cutler went down, and in a game in which the Bears Defense/Special Teams scored 21 points.

Listen, last week's win in the Meadowlands was impressive, but the still lacking Redskins shouldn't be giving points to the Little Sisters of the Poor. Expect a let down from that before mentioned win. This game will be hanging in the balance with 5 minutes to go. Vikings


Denver at Buffalo(+2.5)
Santa's Wishlist: John Elway asked Santa for Tim Tebow to pull an OJ with new girlfriend Lindsey Vonn, violating the 6th Commandment, so that Elway can run Tebow out of town without causing riots in the streets of Denver. Elway also asked for a new stall, chocolate covered oats, and for Calvin Borel to ride him in next year's Derby.

I hate to simply bet the due factor, like some degenerate gambler in a casino who frantically looks for the roulette wheel with a bunch of consecutive blacks or reds on the board, so that he can then run to that one table, bet the house on whatever color has NOT been coming up simply because its DUE...but, that's what were doing here. (I've only heard of this strategy in casinos from buddies, or something like that, but have never done that myself...)

Seriously, the Bills have been awful. They've lost 7 straight, and have been almost equally bad ATS, losing 6 of 7. Last week, they allowed divisional foe Miami to come into town and roll them up- in a mini snow storm, with an interim coach at the helm, and in their own backyard.

Tim Tebow is fun to watch, no doubt. But you have to figure the law of averages is still chasing him and his cult like status. Yes, he had his sheeot handed to him last week by Tom Brady, but for Tebow's Sake, the comeback win against the Bears two weeks ago, is at least worth 3 Hail Marys, and 2 Our Fathers, or in layman's terms, a loss on the road at a Buffalo team who is due.


Philadelphia(+1.5) at Dallas
Santa's Wishlist: Mike Vick asked Santa to make his name mysteriously disappear off of Sam Hurd's clientele list. Andy Reid asked Santa for sons who are productive members of society. Tony Romo asked Santa for the board game Chutes and Ladders, to replace Hide-n-Seek as the party time entertainment, the next time he and his douchebag friends get together for a bachelor party. Dez Bryant asked Santa for some pants that fit. And a mother who has a job that requires taxes to be paid on, or so Jeff Ireland tells us. Jason Garrett asked Santa for a timeout reminder. Jerry Jones asked Santa for a face that doesn't resemble the most coveted item at a Tupperware Party. And that disgustingly fat, gross slob Rob Ryan asked Santa for a haircut, and a toilet that can handle elephant sized dumps.

Dallas, for the most part, has been unimpressive for the last 5-6 weeks. We've detailed this ad nauseum. They did handle an awful Tampa Bay team last week, but the key words there are awful Tampa Bay team.

Philly is dangerous, and Mike Vick has looked good in his two starts since returning from injury. A nice roadie at Miami, and then last week's dressing down of what is supposed to be a better than average New York Jets team. Speaking of dressing down, the Eagles did that as well 8 weeks ago against Dallas in Philly. In fact, give the Eagles (today's line) 1.5 points against Dallas in these two teams last three meetings, and the Eagles are 3-0 ATS.

Felix Jones is dinged up, and DeMarco Murray is on the shelf. If the Cowboys are to win, they'll have to do it on Tony Romo's arm, which has been flawless in December. However, the Eagles defense has been tight as of late, giving up only 177, 155, and 190 yards through the air over the last 3 games. Mike Vick does enough to elude Dallas's front 7, and by doing so will have a field day against the putrid Dallas secondary. Eagles




Last Week 1-2 ATS
YTD 32-16-3 ATS

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Sportsyack Radio: December 19th


Check out the Top 5 NFL Quarterbacks (passer rating) through 15 weeks and where they were drafted coming out of college.

1. Aaron Rodgers (24th Overall pick)
2. Drew Brees (32nd Overall pick)
3. Tom Brady (199th Overall pick)
4. Tony Romo (Undrafted)
5. Matt Schaub (90th Overall pick)

Now listen to a segment of Sportsyack Radio from this week.

http://www.box.com/s/yci56hv96jx0qsfraqfb

Follow us on Twitter @Sportsyack @JudgePatrick

Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Occupy Draft Picks: Worst(and dumbest) Argument Ever


Less than 24 hours after beating their divisional rival Giants up in the Meadowlands- a place where the Redskins have had very little success, a segment of the Redskins "fan"base was at it again. The segment who had a hard time enjoying the ass whooping that was the Redskins 23-10 victory on Sunday, because they were already whining about what that win had done to the Redskins draft order in next April's NFL Draft.

At the crux of The Occupy Draft Picks (ODP)movement, is the notion that "a lower pick gives you more options."

Well no shit, Sherlock. What are they going to tell me next? Water is wet? The sky is blue? Dan Snyder has short man's complex?

And there you have it, the only valid point these Occupiers make, which they'll remind you of non-stop as they dismiss every single one of the multiple arguments against their Occupy Draft Picks movement.

And don't let them try to spin it any other way. Their argument is that one singular statement regarding more options, and that's it. And we get it, by the way. You're not exactly cracking DaVinci's Code with that insight.

Right around the time I started having basic math and reasoning problems fed to me in elementary school, I was able to conclude that having 1st pick(earlier picks) usually equates to better things (Dodge ball team selection during 4th grade P.E., having first dibs during Santa's Secret Workshop). I get the "having 1st pick is usually better" concept.

However, its not as cut and dry when you're talking about the NFL Draft. And the time and energy that these people waste worrying about draft order is completely and utterly absurd.

(The day I'm sitting around in my basement by myself in mid November, kind of rooting for the Redskins to lose to Dallas because by doing so it will help their draft order come next April, please drive over to my house and blow my friggin brains out. Thank you)

For starters, the ODP argument starts and ends with, "a lower draft pick gives you more options." Period. End of story. What these Occupiers try to do after adopting the role of master of stating the obvious, is spin it into it somehow guaranteeing NFL teams success.

Its not a sure fire thing, nor is it even close to being one. But God forbid you tell these people that its not. Do this, and you can insert 'defense mechanism' response by these folk, usually defending their argument by trying to make it sound like they are just smarter than everyone else, and boobs like myself or Judge Patrick, both lifelong Redskins fans, "just don't get it".

Actually, we do get it. We just like to take the common sense approach to it, that doesn't involve quitting at the first sign of a lost season. You know, like 5 weeks ago prior to the Dallas game, when this talk started on twitter, the blogs, and sports talk radio.

Pretty ironic, that in light of how the NFC East has played out, that these "fans" were already talking about April in mid November. (Have you run the NFC East scenarios if Graham Gano had simply made that kick in OT vs Dallas?)

Good thing in 2007, Coach Gibbs didn't just throw in the towel at 5-7 and simply redirect his focus on the following year's draft.

So I'd ask these people to show me all the examples of the low draft picks and the success it guarantees.

Cam Newton? Fair enough, the guy looks like he's going to be able to play, but you really won't know much until year 3 or 4. I could make the same argument about Andy Dalton, who ummmm, was drafted 34 positions later than Cam Newton, who also happened to be drafted by almost an equally bad team, who is getting virtually no rookie of the year run, and who with two games to go, has his team right in the AFC Wildcard mix.

Peyton Manning? Fine, you're winning that example, no doubt. That 1st round pick worked out. Ryan Leaf, the guy drafted right after Manning, not so much.

Most of the time, when you bring up the guys who didn't go Top 10 or Top 15, for that matter, the Occupiers don't want to hear it. {Aaron Rodgers(24th pick), Tom Brady(199th pick), or Drew Brees (32nd pick)}

So then forget about specific players, relative to where they were drafted, and explain to me the guaranteed success related to having low draft picks versus higher picks. Lets use the Detroit Lions and the Pittsburgh Steelers for example, and lets see how its worked out for them over the past 10 years.

Starting with the 2002 NFL Draft, the Detroit Lions 1st round picks were as follows: 3rd, 2nd, 7th, 10th, 9th, 2nd, 17th, 1st, 2nd, and 13th. Pretty damn good drafting spots, right? Getting (on average) the 6th pick in the NFL draft for 10 consecutive years should equate to success, right, Occupiers?

However, the Lions record from that point is 46-112, a .291 win percentage, ZERO playoff appearances, and a unbelievably successful 8 seasons where they had double digit losses.

Insert Price Is Right loser horn, losers.

Lets flip that switch, and take a team like the Pittsburgh Steelers, who based off the rationale of the Occupiers, should have been shitting the bed for the entire last decade, based off of their not so attractive drafting order.

The Steelers 1st round picks, starting with the 2002 NFL Draft were in the following positions: 30th, 16th, 11th, 30th, 25th, 15th, 23rd, 32nd, 18th, and 31st. God awful, right? That puts their average 1st round pick at the 23rd spot.

During that decade of awful draft order, the Steelers have gone 103-54-1, for a .651 win percentage. This includes 6 playoff appearances, 5 division titles, 3 trips to the Super Bowl, of which they won two Lombardi Trophy's.

So you see, you simpletons, draft order really doesn't mean shit. The key to a successful draft has everything to do with having the right people in charge that know how to run a draft. This includes evaluating talent by your scouts, coaches, and general manager, and to be able to trade for the right players prior, during, or after the Draft. This will then allow your coaches to then coach those players up, and work them into your system.

Another reason it makes zero sense to worry about and bitch about potential Draft order now, is that there are entirely too many factors that are out of arm chair quarterback's control. Injuries, draft day trades, suspensions, etc.- all things that you cannot control, which should be enough for you to consider dropping the poor, poor pitiful me mantra, and just enjoy the moment, for Christ's sake.

But the worst attribute of all for being part of the ODP movement, is the mere fact that regardless of the point in the season, regardless of the Redskins opponent on any given Sunday, regardless of the Redskins record, regardless of what Mel Kiper or Andy McShay is projecting to happen 8 or 7 or 6 months from now (depending on when your misery goes full bore), is that you, in some fashion or form or lapse in moral judgement, are kind of rooting for the Redskins to lose.

That's not a fan. Its fair weathered. Its bush league. Its actually worse than the "never been to Dallas, DC born and raised" Cowboys fans.

So enough of the nonsense, already. Quit worrying about things that you cannot control, things that don't even guarantee success in the first place. Your talking point is pathetic, and its you who doesn't get it- the simple(yet minimal) pleasure of being a Redskins fan and going up to the Meadowlands in mid December, regardless of record or playoff implications, and laying the wood to the hated New York Giants.




Follow us on twitter @Sportsyack @JudgePatrick

Friday, December 16, 2011

NFL Week 15: The Train Keeps A-Rollin'

Hello, reader(s). The Yack is on an epic tear this season. 31-14-3 ATS is disgustingly awesome. 7-1 ATS the last two weeks, is like having one of those 4 hour boners that the commercials talk about. Guys like Hammering Hank wish they had half the prognostication skills that we do. That bloated ass hat Chris "Swami" Berman only wishes he had our numbers. Enough of the self love, thank you very much, its on with the continued winning...


Dallas(-7) at Tampa
The Cowboys have been a bettor's nightmare. They've failed to cover 4 straight, and 6 of their last 7. And Sunday night's 12 point lead with 5:41 to go meltdown, was one for the ages. Here is where Cowboy fan gets his nut.

Let me throw out some other numbers: 41, 38, 23, 35, 37, 27, which would be the points the Bucs have allowed over their last 6 games. That's a smooth 33.5 points per game their stellar defense is giving up. Not to mention their current 7 game losing streak. Tony Romo will dissect the league's 29th ranked defense, and Jason Garrett and Rob Ryan will have their shit together. Dallas rolls.


Tennessee(-7) at Indy
Whats this you might ask: the Yack throwing down on another favorite, who happens to be the road team, who also happens to be laying a 7 piece? Bottomline with three to go, the Titans are in a dogfight to secure a wildcard spot, and the Colts need to keep losing to secure Andrew Luck.

Chris Johnson has run for 150 yards or more in 2 of his last 3 games. The Colts are 30th in the league in run defense. The Titans are 5-0 ATS this year versus a team with a losing record, and they're 4-0 ATS playing on fake grass. The 2008 Detroit Lions are counting down the days until the 2011 Indianapolis Colts join them in infamy. Can you say boat race Sunday? Titans big.


New England at Denver(+9)
How many times do we have to tell you? New England's defense sucking fucks! DFL in the league, and yet betting public guy continues to get down on Brady and Belichick. This line is absurd.

Listen people. Don't get all caught up in the lure of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick, or Bomani Jones and Stephen A. Smith's non stop preaching of how Tim Tebow's unconventional ways suck. The proof is in the pudding. Tebow is 7-1 as a starter this year, regardless of how he's winning, and the Patriots are a one trick pony. Not to mention New England is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 as favorites of 6 points or more, and they're on the dreaded backside of back to back roadies. Tebow Time. Broncos



A study came out this week indicating that marriages in the US were at an all time low. Which means more people are missing out on the beauty of communication between a man and a woman, which keeps a marriage nice and strong. Its all yours, Jack




Last Week 4-0 ATS
YTD ATS 31-14-3 ATS

Wednesday, December 14, 2011

Sportsyack Radio: December 12 and Archives


Sportsyack Radio discussed the Cowboys/Giants game, as well as this week's firings in the NFL, and the NFL's overreaction to making the league safer.

Dallas/Giants wrap up Segment 1
http://www.box.com/s/f2gijpk2ku1gjk9dhqbs

Dallas/Giants wrap up Segment 2
http://www.box.com/s/9qani1xrm6ao9k9nvcce

NFL firings and safety
http://www.box.com/s/inbi32fp9d54gvo0klsa



ARCHIVES

Redskins/Jets wrap up(Nov.2011)
http://www.box.com/s/buxlhexlrclaepkoo3yj

AFC playoff picture and Why Tim Tebow gets critiqued so much(Nov.2011)
http://www.box.com/s/ru2yulprgmf6c2ftvknt

Carnac in studio (Nov.2011)
http://www.box.com/s/6jv4u88nnglia0qli9kf

Irv, The Legend from Vegas, calls to apologize for calling Yack a fucking asshole in email, and he also likes to make fun of Yack and Patrick's father (Jan.2011)
http://www.box.com/s/bo1bd5z054bidfqrnqqj

SuperBowl Wrap Up(Feb.2011)
http://www.box.com/s/te2omoseghryo7tyk89m

Irv, The Legend from Vegas, gives us his take on the Packers/Steelers Super Bowl(Jan.2011)
http://www.box.com/s/72p3ud5r84nxi6516vvp


Follow us on twitter @Sportsyack @JudgePatrick

The Junkies Were Told "book talk only" by Feinstein

The Yack has been told from a source that the reason The Junkies did not ask John Feinstein questions regarding Donovan McNabb or his feud with ESPN 980, was that Feinstein informed the boys prior to the appearance that his appearance would strictly be about his new book.

Kind of bush league, in our opinion, for a DC guy on a DC sports radio station, who so liberally likes to throw around his opinion, like he did last year with his controversial remarks about McNabb's benching here in DC, and in light of McNabb's recent release in Minnesota.

John Feinstein sounds like a diva to us. Or a dick.

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

The Junkies Step Aside for John Feinstein's Infomercial: And Mary Carillo is "good looking".


The most interesting guy ever stopped by The Fan's new studio in Lanham Tuesday morning, and he did not fail to deliver. Story after story of how he befriended guys like Coach K and John McEnroe, mixed in between a story about how Martina Navratilova once had a Lufthansa flight held up for him after he stared down a communist Czech gov't official, to ensure nothing bad happened to former Cap Michal Pivonka's mother.

The Dos Equis man? James Bond? Neither.

We're talking about the one and only, John "Junior" Feinstein, who was his usual, "me-me-me, my book, my book, my book" self, as his book promotional tour continued during the Sports Junkies Tuesday show.

Unfortunately for the listeners, Feinstein barely let the Junkies get a word in edgewise, and the almost hour of air time-errrrrr, infomercial time for Feinstein's latest book, didn't allow the Junks to ask any of the questions inquiring minds would like to know the answers to.

For example, is Leslie Frazier a racist for benching Donovan McNabb, just like you said Mike Shanahan was last year? If Tiger Woods were on fire, would you piss on him to try and put it out? And did you really just say that Mary Carillo is good looking?

Yep, men with testosterone who are reading this. John Junior, when describing a time when he worked with/interviewed Former Tennis Pro and current tennis analyst Mary Carillo, said one of the benefits of doing so was because "she's good looking."

To each his own, I guess, but "good looking" is not the first thought that comes to our collective minds when you say the name Mary Carillo. Now maybe Anna Kournikova or that hottie who Rory McIlroy is giving his 3 wood to, but Mary Carillo?

Really, John? When did you become a fiction writer?

In any case, John Junior thinks Mary Carillo is hot, and the Junkies- who seem to be walking on egg shells whenever they get Feinstein on the phone or in this case in studio, dropped the ball as far as we're concerned.

Seriously, guys. How do you not get into the McNabb/Shanahan questions? How do you not ask Feinstein about his strained relationship(s) with Tony Kornheiser or about Feinstein's blogpost on Sunday, in which he ripped ESPN 980's Program Director Chuck Sapienza a new one?

As long winded and self serving as Feinstein comes off, he is a pretty interesting guy- regardless of his taste in women. But an hour of just stories by John, and no pertinent questions by the boys? Disappointment from this listener.



STP frontman Scott Weiland getting into the holiday spirit. Who put the drugs in his heroin?

Monday, December 12, 2011

The Response We Got From NFLShop.Com When We Tried To Order a Tim Tebow Jersey


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Saturday, December 10, 2011

NFL Week 14: Continuing to Make Our Man's Money Disappear


New England at Washington(+9)
Everyone in Washington, including phony radio guys who rant for ratings purposes following Monday Night blowout losses, yet they fall into the "lose for draft picks" category of douchebag fans, thinks this game is going to be a "shellacking". And if you follow the general public opinion, you too might be making the mistake of getting down on Tom Brady and the Pats.

We told you back in September http://www.sportsyackontap.com/2011/09/dont-expect-anything-out-of-new-england.html that New England would not be doing shat beyond December. And we still contend that. They continue to be dead last in total defense, and dead last in the league against the pass.

Here is a funny start to a sentence: In the games in which Rex Grossman has shined, the teams he's playing against have secondaries that are not exactly stellar.(NYG-29th, 2nd Dallas game- 15th, Seattle- 20th). So against the team ranked 32nd, we like Sexy's chances to at least move the ball here.

The Redskins, quite frankly, be it not for Graham Gano vs Dallas, and Graham Gano and Danny Smith vs the NY Jets, could be riding a 3 game winning streak. Playing without pot head starters Trent Williams and Fred Davis, as well as king of all groin and Achilles injuries, Laron Landry, the Redskins find a way to keep this game within reach. Patriots 24 Redskins 19.


Kansas City at NY Jets(-10.5)
This game has blowout potential written all over it, and most likely that potential will come to fruition. The Chiefs prevented us from going a perfect 4-0 ATS last week, and we're not the least bit afraid of going to the well for the second week in a row against them, because quite frankly, they're effing horrible.

Last week against the Bears, the Chiefs needed to both (a)Knock out Matt Forte and (b)Complete a Hail Mary touchdown right before the end of the half, just to hang on and win 10-3. In fact, throw out that Hail Mary touchdown, and the Chiefs over the past five games are averaging- ARE YOU READY FOR THIS?!?- a putrid 5.6 points per game!!

Wha-wha-what?!?

Rex Ryan and the Jets, coming off a road win and continuing their playoff push which is a dogfight that they're in, will stick their sticky, stinky, kinky feet right up the Chiefs asses this week. This game will not be close. Jets


San Francisco at Arizona(+3.5)
Speaking of going back to the well, we gave you Arizona last week as a straight up winner against Dallas, and we like them to upset the Niners here. Bottomline is this, as we told you last week, the Cardinals have been playing very good football over the past 6 weeks. Unfortunately for them, their 1-6 start is going to leave them outside looking in come January, but as of late, this team is playing as good as any.

Going back to the last week in October, Arizona inexcusably blew a 21 point lead on the road to Baltimore, and then went on to win 4 of their next 5. Their only loss; the 49ers, 3 weeks ago.

Maybe its because San Fran clinched their division last week and could be not as up for this game or maybe its because we're still not sold on them as world beaters, but whatever the reason may be, the "three and a hook" is a lock with Arizona in this spot. Cardinals


NY Giants(+4.5) at Dallas
There is one, and possibly two(depending on whose opinion you ask)coaches playing for their jobs this week. If the Giants lose here, they are for all intents and purposes done for the post season, and Tom Coughlin's run will be over. And we feel strongly that if Dallas loses here, they too will continue to shit the bed in December, will fail to make the post season, and Jason Garrett's short tenure as the BMOC in Dallas could come to end.

Neither team has been impressive of late. Dallas had won 4 straight going into last week's loss at Arizona, but could've easily just as lost 3 of the 4 in that stretch. The G-Men too have a streak going- a nice 4 game losing streak, that we expect them to end Sunday night.

During their current losing streak, the Giants have had to play Frisco, Philly, Norleans, and Green Bay. Short of the Eagles, who I'm pretty sure boat raced Dallas in prime time 5 weeks ago, thats a murderer's row of games. Dallas, on the otherhand, killed a pretender in Buffalo, should've lost to Washington, could've lost to Miami, and last week lost to a surging, yet still 5-7 Cardinals team.

Tom Coughlin gets his guys to win one for the gipper here. He's never lost in the House that Jerry Built, and look for him to make that a trifecta Sunday night. Fantasy players need to get Eli in the game immediately, as he will have a field day with a very suspect Dallas secondary. 33-27 Giants

Last Week 3-1 ATS
YTD 27-14-3 ATS


Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Sportsyack Radio: December 6, 2011


The boys discuss the Redskins/Jets debacle: topics include bad clock management, what the fuck Danny Smith/Graham Gano were thinking with that pooch kick, and how Mike Shanahan's stern discipline ways have transcended the pot smoke filled locker room.
http://www.box.com/s/buxlhexlrclaepkoo3yj

Also discussed, the Dallas Cowboys and their OWN clock management problems, as well as their and the rest of the NFC's playoff chances.
http://www.box.com/s/qxfb8rmj6x80n0zkfny5

Sunday, December 4, 2011

NFL Week 13: A Four Pack of Winners


Kansas City at Chicago(-7)
Da Bears had covered 5 straight going into last week's road loss at Oakland. Expect Da Bears to get their ship anchored back in Cover Harbor this week, as some guy named Tyler Palko will have his hands under center for the Chiefs. Judge Patrick tells me Tyler Palko shouldn't be within 5 miles of an NFL huddle, let alone inside of one. Da Bears will score 7 or 14 points via their defense/special teams. Da Bears.


Oakland at Miami(-3)
The Dolphins have covered 5 straight and could easily be riding a 4 game winning streak, barely losing at Dallas on Thanksgiving. Prior to Dallas and during that streak, Miami was beating teams in (kind of) blowout fashion. 35-8, 20-9, and 31-3. We like the extra rest for Miami(first game in 10 days), and don't like the West Coast to East Coast 1pm start for Oakland. 20-14 Fish.


Cincinnati at Pittsburgh(-6.5)
The Bengals had to come from behind last week to beat a not very good Browns team. That was on the heels of back to back divisional losses to Baltimore and to the team that hails from Big Hair, Big Ass, Big Truck Nation, who they play again today. The Steelers were flat last week coming out of their bye week, and barely beat a Chiefs team in a game that they were double digit favorites. Expect a nice rebound against their divisional opponents from Southern Ohio.

The Steelers have beat the Bengals 3 straight, and there is one factor here that we think is getting overlooked; Andy Dalton. The guy has played very well this year, but he's still a rookie, playing at Pittsburgh, in December. Bottomline, the Big Ass, Big Haired girlfriends of all those hillbilly assholes waving Terrible Towels and defending Joe Paterno, will be happy by game's end. 34-13 Steelers.


Dallas at Arizona(+4.5)
The Cowboys continue to escape in games in which they play not very good teams, twice in two weeks, in fact. Two weeks ago Washington (twice this year) and Miami on Thanksgiving. From our vantage point, there still seems to be a bit of a country club atmosphere under skinny, younger Wade Phillips, Jason Garrett. They're 27th in the league in most penalties committed, and the Thanksgiving "win" over Miami was a shining example of what they're capable of. 11 penalties committed, and a dumb timeout because of their inability to properly lineup for a Miami field goal attempt.

We like the points here. The Cardinals have won 3 out of their last 4, and have been impressive at times. They had a very good Ravens team dead to rights 5 weeks ago in Baltimore, and somehow let that game slip away. Expect Larry Fitzgerald to have a big day against what is an awful Dallas secondary. Dallas has lost in Arizona the last two times these teams played there. 24-21 Cardinals.


Last Week 2-1 ATS
YTD 24-13-3 ATS


Now if you don't think this rocks, you and eye have a problem.....

Sunday, November 27, 2011

NFL Week 12: Post-Thanksgiving Stuffing


I hope you enjoyed your Thanksgiving. Mine consisted of laying around at my parents on their recliner, drinking beer, watching football, eating, drinking beer, napping, farting and being proud of it, and watching my man beg for mercy as I hit for the cycle against his punk ass.

Yeah, it sucks to be you if you don't follow @sportsyack on twitter. Otherwise, you missed out on a 3-0 Turkey Thursday by yours truly. Documented, not counting the Thanksgiving Day massacre we delivered to our man, we're now 10 games over .500 for the season. This is shaping up to be an even better NFL season for The Yack than last year's brilliance. Being 10 games over .500 with 6 weeks to go, puts us on about a 17 games over pace, which would pummel last year's season tally of 35-25-3. As always, you're welcome, you degenerates.

Houston(-6) at Jacksonville
I don't care who is quarterbacking the Texans, this game is an easy cover, and this line an absolute joke. For starters, the Jaguars can't score. They've managed to score more than 17 points just twice. In fact, in their last 5 games they've scored 13,12,14,17, and 10. And that 17 pointer was against the god awful Colts, and 14 of those 17 were scored in latter part of the 4th Quarter. (We know, because we had the Jags that day, and we were sweating bullets)

This just in, unsuspecting fan of the NFL who had no idea that the Texans have the #1 ranked defense in the league, the Houston Texans have the #1 ranked defense in the league! Couple that with the return of Andre Johnson, and the hotter than a firecracker running of Arian Foster, and like we said, it doesn't matter who the Texans put behind center. Texans 24-10.


Cleveland at Cincy(-7)
Speaking of teams who can't score, in the Browns last 5 outings, they're averaging just over 10 points per game on offense. And we don't like the Browns in this spot here AT ALL, facing a Bengals team who can score, can defend, and whose coming off two consecutive tough losses to divisional opponents.

The Browns are no slouches on defense, in fact they're 4th in the league, slightly better than the 5th ranked Bengals. However, the Bengals have scored 23 or more points in 6 of their last 7 games, and we're big fans of that ginger/Judge Patrick look alike, Andy Dalton.

Dalton is making a very under the radar play for rookie of the year, NFL writer who already had Cam Newton notched in by week 4. And although Newton is pummeling Dalton in the yards thrown for category, Dalton's TD-INT ratio is considerably better than Newton's, 15-12 vs 12-14. I'm sure as soon as the main stream media realizes this little bit of information, they'll go after Dalton's religious views. Bengals big.


New England/Philadelphia (Over 51)
These two teams like to sit back in shotgun and throw the ball. And although New England has kept it close to the vest defensively the past couple weeks, they're still giving up 404 yards per game, which equates to DFL in the entire NFL.

Both of these teams have played 4 out of their last 5 games UNDER. And Philly's defense- for all the shit they've taken by making their former water boy or coffee runner or whomever they made their defensive coordinator this year, has shaped up to be not too shabby, 12th overall. However, here is how this game shapes up today:

New England will throw the ball a lot, and Philly's defense will not be able to keep them in check. But on the otherside of the ball, Philly will exploit New England extremely porous defense, and this game is going to turn into a track meet. Don't be surprised to see a final score that resembles Andy Reid's waist line, and that fat fuck isn't wearing anything in the 30s. Over


Last Week 2-1 ATS
YTD 22-12-3 ATS

Saturday, November 19, 2011

NFL Week 11: We Continue To Pummel Our Man



Buffalo at Miami(Under 44)
The Dolphins somehow are favorites for the second week in a row, after starting their season 0-7. Buffalo has lost 3 out of 4, after starting off 4-1. We're not quite sure how the Bills are dogs in this spot, and that is exactly why we're staying away from a side here. However, the total is quite appealing. The Dolphins have played in 8 straight unders, and these two teams have played 4 of 5 unders in the last 5 played in South Beach. Play the Under, and if you're really bored, play a Buffalo/Under parlay and/or tease.



Oakland at Minnesota(-1)
This game doesn't look sexy on paper, but I've been looking at this game all week, and I can't contain my Adrian Peter, son. The Vikings are back home in the friendly confines of a building whose roof collapsed last winter. The last time they played at home, they took a 17-13 lead into halftime against the undefeated Packers, and then you can guess what happened next. In fact, the maligned 2-7 Vikings have blown 5 second half leads this year, 3 of which have come at home.

Oakland sucks, just like the rest of the AFC West. They've lost 2 of 3, all to other AFC West shitty teams, and now they're on the road (for the second straight week) against an NFC team whose record is a bit deceptive.

The before mentioned Adrian Peterson, and his 4.7 yards per carry, will have a field day against the league's 25th ranked run defense. And don't sleep on Jared Allen's league leading 13.5 sacks. Carson Palmer and his, "I don't need to play, I have enough money in the bank" schtick, will be up close and personal with Allen and the other Purple People Eaters all day. This is a friggin boat race. Vikings


San Diego at Chicago(-3.5)
I wasn't sure why the Bills were dogs at Miami, but I'm sure as to why the Bears are only laying 3.5 at home to a horseshit Chargers team; Vegas has no faith in Jay Cutler. Or maybe he's getting no credit, as the Bears scored 21 non offensive generated points last week, in the butt thumping they gave divisional foe Detroit.

In any case, the Bears have won 4 in a row, and 5 out of their last 6. And during this 4 game winning streak, Cutler has thrown just 2 picks. Hell, Rex Grossman has throw two picks from the time I started writing this post, and that fat bastard is sitting at home eating Oreo cookie ice cream.

Have a little faith in Cutler, folks. He's not turning the ball over, he's being protected, and the Bears defense and special teams speak for themselves (see last week). The Chargers have lost 4 in a row, and are going nowhere fast. And you NEVER BET ON NORV. Bears


Last Week 2-1 ATS
YTD 20-11-3 ATS


Thursday, November 17, 2011

The Racial Double Standard When Critiquing Tim Tebow


This is not a defense of Tim Tebow's skill set or lack there of. In fact, it appears that his abilities as a conventional NFL quarterback are limited. This is just an observation on the non-stop criticism he takes from the cynical main stream media.

When it comes to critiquing Tim Tebow, it appears that the flood gates are wide open on him. And although most won't admit it, there is no question in our mind, that his race, among other things, has allowed for this free for all. Its actually the pink elephant in the room, people. So why don't we have a big boy conversation, as Colin Cowherd might say.

Deion Sanders even asked Tebow about it on the NFL Network's post game show following the Broncos Thursday night win against the Jets. Sanders wanted to know "Why is there so much anger, hate, disdain- is it your faith?" Well, that certainly is part of it.

Many, I'm sure, are resentful of Tebow's abilities to lead his team to victory, running around like a helter skelter, completing very few passes along the way. Many are resentful of his squeaky clean image, his religious views, etc. He's an easy mark, we get that. We live in a cynical society, and none of this surprises me.

But what allows for people in the press, both white and black, to constantly rail on this guy without any regard for consequence, is the fact that he is white.

Let's face it, it allows for a more open conversation. We live in a society when at times its open season on everything white, and if you call out or question anything black, you're a racist. Its ok to use certain words or phrases when critiquing or railing on the white athlete.

Case in point, Bomani Jones. You can often see him on ESPN's Around The Horn. As a follower of his on twitter, we have seen the countless tweets and retweets on Tebow, and how much Tebow's unconventional success seems to irk Jones. And it borders on obsessive, check his timeline for yourself.

Just minutes after Thursday night's come from behind win against the Jets, Jones tweeted, "worst part is i have no problem with tebow at all. he's just not good. my problem, as always, is with stoooopid."

Just yesterday, some guy named Drew Sharp, who writes for the Detroit Free Press, was on Jim Rome's television show, also on ESPN. When talking about Tebow, Mr. Sharp said that the only way Tebow would work in Denver over the long run, was if Coach John Fox "dumb downed" the offense.

"Dumb downed" the offense, huh? Wow.

Now the before mentioned journalists ARE black, and Tebow's criticism does come from both sides when it comes to race, but can you imagine if Bob Ryan or Mike Lupica, two white journalists, while talking about a black quarterback, said that the only way that he would succeed was if his coach "dumb downed" the offense? Or after his 4th win in 5 tries, they took to twitter and talked about how much the player sucked, or referred to him as "stoopid"?

No need to imagine, because you'll never hear or see that.

As I said, the free flowing criticism of Tebow comes from both races, and in this case, Tebow's own(white) coach, John Fox. On Monday, Fox said of Tebow that Tebow "would be screwed" if he were forced to run a conventional offense. Hardly the comments you'd hear a coach say about a black quarterback in our society, and obviously the comments of a coach who is probably not thrilled with his starter's 4-1record, but that's an entirely different conversation.

But that's the difference between the MSM's critique of athletes as it pertains to race. Its exactly why last year, non-stop book promotional tour, patter of his own back author John Feinstein, weighed in on the Donovan McNabb situation in Washington.

Again, with what appears to be a lack of regard for consequence(because there is none), John Junior claimed that a career NFL coach, with 27 years as either an assistant or head coach, who works in a league that is about 70% black, used "racial coding" when explaining why he benched McNabb.

No word that we know of from Feinstein this year, regarding McNabb's benching from his new coach in Minnesota, Leslie Frazier, and whether or not there was any "racial coding" involved in that benching, but most likely not, since Frazier is black as well.

Its a double standard, period. And if its not, can I get Warren Moon to weigh in on this subject?

Earlier this year, prior to the NFL Draft, Moon expressed his displeasure with the media's scrutiny of soon to be Carolina Panther, Cam Newton. Here is Moon's quote from March, from a PFT post: “A lot of the criticism he’s receiving is unfortunate and racially based. I thought we were all past this. I don’t see other quarterbacks in the draft being criticized by the media or fans about their smile or called a phony. He’s being held to different standards from white quarterbacks.I thought we were past all this stuff about African-American quarterbacks, but I guess we’re not."

That quote is almost laughable, in light of the polarizing effect Tebow has on the media and fans.

I'd ask you to pay attention to the critiques of Tebow, and make judgement for yourself, both in the amount and types of criticism. You'll most likely see the lightning rod that is Tim Tebow, drawing certain types of criticism that if were uttered about his black counterpart, would get those critics crucified.


Follow us on twitter @Sportsyack @JudgePatrick

Saturday, November 12, 2011

NFL Week 10: Back On Top of The Mountain


I would stop reading right now if you want winners. The Yack has been hotter than a firecracker as of late, and we're due to come crashing down harder than a delusional Redskin fan after Week 4 of this NFL season. Documented 7-1-1 last three weeks, we're also in 1st place of a Junkies fan "league", that has over 70 donks picking every game against the number each week. And since Sunday night: Ravens +3, Bears +9, UNC -9, and last night(Friday), the Caps on the moneyline. Winners, winners, multiple chicken dinners. So like I said, you can stop reading now.


Jacksonville(-3) at Indy
Lets get right into it. This is our NFL November game of the month. The Jags are much, much better than their 2-6 record indicates. Coming off a bye, the Jags last 3 games include a should've cover at 6-3 Houston(ended up pushing, gave up very late 4th QTR score), an easy cover and win on MNF vs. 6-2 Baltimore, and a tough 17-13 loss at 6-3 Pittsburgh in which they DID cover, and in the losing effort ran for 133 yards.

In summary, thats a 2-0-1 ATS record over the last month, vs teams whose combined record is 18-8.

We love the Jags here. As we've documented before, the Colts punted this season a long time ago. They've become a shell of themselves since shelving Peyton, and the only question/conversation this team seems to create anymore, is what they'll do if given the opportunity to draft 1st next April.

The Jags have the 11th best run offense, which will bode well against the Colts worst ranked defense. The Jags defense, 3rd in the entire league, will have no problem containing whatever cast of scabs Jim Irsay opts to send out on the field, as he plans his firing of Jim Caldwell, in between his tweets of telling us how the weather is. Can you say 24-13? Jaguars


Washington(+4) at Miami
I don't care how piss poor the Redskins have looked the past 4- errrrrr, 7 weeks. I just don't see how a team(Miami) who has lost 10 of their last 11 at home, finally won last week after starting the season 0-7, is now all of the sudden laying points. And considering the on field "talent", 4 points is A LOT in this game.

The Redskins, through all the injuries and drama at the QB position, still lead the league in fewest penalties committed, and their defense is 2nd in the league overall, in Red Zone defense when it comes to fewest Touchdowns allowed. 17-13 Redskins


NY Giants at San Fran(-3.5)
Playing the "let down" angle here, among other things. Expect the Giants' last minute emotional win last week at New England, to affect their play this week against a pretty good 49er team. Not to mention we love to play against teams who are on the back end of consecutive roadies.

The 49ers are running the ball to the tune of 137/per game. The Giants are a not so great 24th in the league in run defense. The last time the Giants went roadie-roadie, they were at Philly and like here, flew across country and were dead to rights vs the Cardinals, but somehow managed a miracle at the end.

Eli has been very Jeckyl and Hyde this year (Great vs New England, horrible in a 3 INT loss at home to Seattle in Wk 5). Frisco is no joke. Their resume includes wins at Detroit (6-2) and at Cincy (6-2). No last minute heroics for Eli this week. 23-16 49ers


Last Week 3-0 ATS
YTD 18-10-3 ATS


Friday, November 11, 2011

Carnac The Magnificent Stops By Sportsyack Radio


In a week that featured the lewd details of the "WE ARE PEDOPHILE STATE!" scandal and the Wilson Ramos kidnapping, Sportsyack Radio was more than ready for Carnac The Magnificent and his boy Ed McMahan to help lighten up the mood. The two dead celebrities graced the boys with their infamous answer/question bit, and you can listen to it right here. http://www.box.net/shared/6jv4u88nnglia0qli9kf

Saturday, November 5, 2011

NFL Week 9: Its Hockey Season in Washington

Atlanta(-6.5) at Indy
Two weeks ago Jim Caldwell walked off the field by himself following a 62-7 dismantling at the hands of the Saints. Jeff Saturday looked lost and disinterested the same night, making the same walk Caldwell did. And between the talk surrounding whether or not the Colts will draft Andrew Luck if they get the chance, and how both Peyton Manning and Jim Irsay respond when that question is brought up, does anyone in the organization give a shit about THIS season? No, they don't.

Mike Smith and the Falcons are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 versus a team with a losing record. The Falcons will continue getting to or at least around, the position they were predicted to be in prior to the start of the season. No problems here for Matty Ice and crew. Falcons



Seattle(+11) at Dallas
Doesn't the betting public know that the Seahawks are NFC East road killers? Well, they've actually only played one NFC East team this year, and it was on the road, and they did get it done. Nonetheless, thats the angle I'm taking here.

Coming off a national televised ass thumping, the Cowboys have lost 3 out of 4 and continue to uninspire. Kind of like the Redskins. This is a game in which Dallas lets Seattle hang around just long enough to piss you off late if you're "down" on the Boys. Seahawks



Cincy(+1.5) at Tennessee
We were wondering(and concerned as to) why the Bengals were getting 3-3.5 points here, until we woke up this morning and see that the Vegas smart money has finally started rolling in on the striped ones. The Bengals have won 4 straight and boast the league's #2 ranked defense. They're also protecting their rookie QB pretty well, allowing the 3rd lowest amount of sacks(11) in the league. The addition of Cedric Benson this week won't hurt either.

The Titans are coming off a win against the winless before mentioned Colts, but were manhandled in consecutive weeks before that, against the Texans and Steelers, both of whom, like the Bengals, have Top 10 defenses.

We're buying into the Bengals. They have a good O-line, great defense, solid run game with Benson, and with protection, the rookie Dalton is effective. We got down on them last week in Vegas at 18/1 to win the AFC, and we're getting down on them today. Bengals


Last Week 1-1-1 ATS
YTD 15-10-3 ATS


Friday, October 28, 2011

NFL Week 8: The Cream is Rising. Huh-Huh... Huh-Huh...Huh-Huh...


The world must be right. Bevis and Butthead is back on TV and following last week's 3-0 shutout, yours truly is now 5 games over .500. The J-E-T-S gave us a scare, but our other two winners- the Panthers and Vikings, were pretty much non-sweats. We're taking our talents on the road to Vegas this weekend, and we're bringing our dogs with us. Ruff, ruff.


New Orleans at St.Louis(+13.5)
Ironically enough, the 62 points the Saints posted last weekend against that team Peyton Manning used to carry on his back, was also the same amount(62)of Vicodin pills that injured Saints coach Sean Payton popped during said game.

This is nothing more than a "due" play. I'm not going to try and make a case for how much I love the Rams, because they do in fact suck. How effing bad are they? Well, besides their 0-6 record, in their last 4 losses, they've scored 7,10,3, and 7 points, for a total of 27 over that span. The Saints scored 27 during halftime of their game last week, for Christ's sake.

The Saints are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. They're 1-6 ATS in their last 7 as road favorites. Take the points, and don't be surprised if by some strange reason, any given Sunday, the Rams are still in this game in the 4th quarter. Rams


Jax(+10) at Houston
The Jags have been in every game they've played except one, their Week 2 ass whuppin' they took at the hands of the Jets. The Texans have lost 3 of their last 5, and even though they manhandled the Titans last week, they're 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a SU win.

We like the Jags getting almost double digits. Their 6th ranked defense will allow no more than 20 points in this spot, and we're banking on Blaine to post 10 or 13 points for the cover. Texans win, but not by much. Jaguars


Washington(+6) at Buffalo
The Redskins are starting to resemble a MASH unit. Five offensive starters are either on IR or in the hurt locker. Mike Shanahan told reporters on Monday that its times like these when he gets inspired by Dr. Spencer Johnson's Who Moved My Cheese?, as it helps him plow through adversity.

We're not sold on the Bills. They've cooled off from their 3-0 start, having lost 2 of their last 3. And their defense is very suspect. Currently 31st, you need to look no further than the Bills last 5 games. Beginning with Week 2, the Bills have given up consecutively 35,31,23,24, and 27 points. In their last 7 as a road dog of 3.5-10 points, the Redskins are 6-1 ATS. Redskins


Last Week 3-0 ATS
YTD 14-9-2 ATS


Monday, October 24, 2011

Two Blind Mice: Shanahans Need To Explain Some Play Calls

By Judge Patrick


There is a rodent problem at Redskins Park. One mouse, the father, has a proven track record of success, both offensively and in the win column. The other mouse, the son, has Chris Simms' initials tattooed on his ankle. You want to guess which one is in charge of the offense? I'll give you a hint; he has a tattoo of another dude's initials on his ankle.

I woke up Sunday morning worried that John Beck would be the reason why the Redskins would lose to a 1-5 Panthers team. Instead, 3 coaching decisions, that I still cannot comprehend, went a long way into sending the Redskins home 3-3, and into a possible tailspin.

Some people say that you cannot mix business and pleasure, nor business and family. By doing so, you are inviting, and opening yourself up to a whole new set of problems and questions. This is what I think Mike Shanahan faces come Monday morning.

Now before I so eloquently make my point, I will state that the Redskins defense, for the second week in a row, has looked like the defense who aspired to suck into next dead last place last year. And the defense didn't exactly help the cause, when it came to yesterday's efforts. But I'd like to point out some interesting coaching decisions, that for the most part, were made well before the game got out of hand.

3 decisions, at 3 different points of the game, went a long way into determining the outcome of this game. If Mike Shanahan had final say on all 3 decisions, then his status as a "genius" needs to be re-evaluated. If he didn't have final say on these decisions, and his son Kyle did, then I'd like to know (especially if I'm Dan Snyder) just what he's getting paid $7 million dollars for. Let me explain as I go McLaughlin Group on you.


ISSUE 1!: 2nd quarter, 0:36 to play in the first half, the Redskins have the ball at their own 31 with 1 timeout. This situation gives you two ways to go in my opinion. Take a knee and go to the lockerroom tied at 6, getting the ball to start the 2nd half, or take your chances down the field, and see if you can steal some points before the half.

On 1st down, the little mouse decided to take a shot down the field, which fell incomplete. Fair enough, shot taken. On 2nd down, with even less time on the clock and still just 1 timeout, whoever is in charge of play calling decided to run a quick slant towards the middle of the field, which in this situation will net you 10-15 yards at best, and it will force you to call your last timeout. If Gaffney doesn't fumble there, what are you left with? 1st and 10 from your own 40, no timeouts and maybe 17-20 seconds left? But Gaffney did fumble, Carolina then kicked a FG to take the 9-6 halftime lead, and in my opinion a huge momentum shift.

They took a shot on first down and came up empty. At that point, you swallow your pride, take a knee, and go into the half tied 6-6, knowing that you are getting the ball to start the second half.


ISSUE 2!: Going for it on 4th and 2 from the Carolina 40, on the Redskins opening drive of the second half. Some might say that if you can't get 2 yards, you don't deserve to win. I say if your coaches can't figure out that you are only down 3 early in the 3rd quarter on the road, you have a defense you claim to be good, a guy playing QB for you that hasn't started a game since 2007, and a punter that has been all world the first 5 weeks of the season, you punt the ball and play for field position.

And if you are so inclined to go for it in this position, I'd take my chances doing the only thing that you had done consistently to this point in the game, which is run the god damn ball! I would not run back to back plays out of a shotgun formation when I only needed 2 yards. But that is exactly what somebody in charge decided to do, the second resulting in a 7 yard loss as Beck was sacked. Two plays later the Panthers scored, and the Redskins now trailed 16-6. That's now 10 points that were thrown away to end the 1st half, and start the 2nd.


ISSUE 3!: 4th quarter, 5:05 to play. With all 3 timeouts in hand, having just gone 80 yards in 10 plays in 3:08 to score a TD to make it 30-20, the idea of a onside kick was presented, and unfortunately approved. The Panthers, like the rest of the world, were caught off guard when the Redskins lined up in a onside kick formation and burned their last timeout.

At this point I said to myself, "Way to go rat face, you just made them burn their last timeout!"

Unfortunately, Shanny and Co. lined up for another onside kick, one in which Carolina was prepared for, and Carolina recovered it.

I honestly can't think of a good reason to go onside there. It's a 10 point game, there is 5 minutes left, you have all 3 timeouts and the 2 minute warning. Gano is good for a touchback. You kick it off, let them start at the 20, and try to play some defense. I realize that the defense failed to stop Carolina most of the day, but why then would you give them the ball at your own 49 with 5 minutes to play and down 10, instead of their 20 and down 10?

And spare me the "what if?" scenarios. Onside kicks are a low percentage play, and I just don't see how this situation called for that desperate of a play. It was stupid, end of story.

There certainly is an argument that the Redskins defense (or lack thereof)was the reason they lost on Sunday. But I still think those first two coaching decisions went a long way in sealing defeat. I have been a big supporter of the Shanahan regime, but I cannot give them a pass for those decisions today.




Follow us on twitter @sportsyack @JudgePatrick

Friday, October 21, 2011

NFL Week 7: Pondering Our Future


San Diego at NY Jets(PK)
Rex Ryan and Norv Turner exchanged some fightin words in the media this week. We didn't read the quotes, but we're pretty sure Ryan called Turner Pizza Face, and Turner responded by saying, "At least my feet don't smell like a fish market!"

The Jets come in having lost 3 of their last 4, and conversely, the Chargers have won 3 straight. The Jets didn't look very impressive in their MNF win against the winless Dolphins, and we guess that's why this game is just a pick, with some books having the Jets as a 1 point dog. Don't think too much about this one. Never bet on Norv, and never bet a west coast team playing on the east coast at 1pm Eastern. The Jets have covered 5 of the last 6 in which these two teams have met, including last year's divisional playoff round at San Diego. Jets


Washington at Carolina(-1)
While most people were focused this week on which Quarterback Coach Shanahan would start, backup tight end Logan Paulsen was planning a post game trip to Kings Dominion, sponsored by 94.7 Fresh FM. The plan is to go out and get their asses kicked by the Panthers, get injured in the process, and then its party time at the popular amusement park.

They say, "you are what you are", and the Redskins are a .500 football team at best. Couple the fact that we think the Redskins are the first 3-2 team in NFL history to pull their Quarterback NOT because of an injury, with the number of injuries the Redskins suffered to the left side of their offensive line last week, and you have a recipe for disaster.

The Redskins have lost 6 straight games in which they face a rookie Quarterback. The Panthers are an impressive 5-2 ATS this year, and they've scored 20 or more points in 5 of their 7 games. They've been in every game they've played in, even last week's 14 point loss to Atlanta, which in reality got out of hand late. Hey Skins fans, "Back to life, back to reality." Panthers


Green Bay at Minnesota(+9)
The Vikings have opted to bench Donovan McNabb for Christian Ponder. When asked to evaluate Head Coach Leslie Frazier's decision to do so, author John Feinstein said it sounded like code for "Sexism", since Ponder is "definitely younger and better looking."

In all seriousness, the Vikings should be 3-0 at home this year. They blew a 17 point second half lead to the Bucs, and then followed that up the next week blowing a 20 point lead to the Lions. We think the change at QB will give the Vikings a spark, and we like the home dog getting almost double digits, versus a team who is overdue to get bitch slapped. Vikings

Last Week 2-1-1 ATS
YTD 11-9-2 ATS


Monday, October 17, 2011

Who Will Be The Starting QB Next Week?

By T.F. Patton, special commentary for Sportsyackontap


This question will of course dominate sports talk and water cooler conversations all week in D.C. After listening to post-game analysis from the pundits and watching twitter remarks, from geniuses like Chad Dukes, it appears a foregone conclusion that Beck will start at Carolina next week.

However, does anyone feel a tinge of desperation in the air if they start Beck?

Yes, Grossman had a horrible day, and following Rex's fourth pick, Shanahan had no choice but to go to the pen, and try to at least allow Beck to give the team a spark. But if they give up on Grossman now, they cannot go back.

For starters, whatever confidence Grossman has left, will be all but gone if benched for next week. Secondly, and most important, all coaches are egomaniacs to some extent, and stories of Shanahan’s hubris are legendary. So if Shanny pulls the trigger on a QB change now, barring injury, he will stick with his boy wonder for the rest of the season at all cost.

Conversely, Shanahan and his son chose Grossman to start the season and they aren’t going to let four quarters of bad play (going back to the St. Louis game) and mobs of fan(atic)s on sports talk radio change their minds so easily. Now if Grossman plays like this next week against Carolina, all bets are off. Thus, it’s much easier to make a QB change at 3-3 than at 3-2, especially if Grossman plays next week like he played today.

The only viable reason to resort to Beck right now, is because of the offensive line injuries the Skins suffered today. A major part of the Skins success leading up to today, had to do with their lack of significant injuries, and today they possibly lost two offensive lineman, and Chris Cooley (who has mostly been irrelevant this season), but he is seemingly an integral part of the Skins’ two tight end set. Beck gives the Skins much more mobility at QB, and this might be reason enough.

Aside from Grossman’s performance, the Redskins weren't horrible today. The defense was outstanding in the second half, and the special teams was good all day. And people, they're still 3-2, essentially (because of a game in hand, and having beat the Giants) tied for first in their division. If they choose to bench their starter from game one, this sends a message to the entire team. It tells them that the recipe that brought them to 3-2 was not good enough, and they need to go in a new direction.

Most importantly, and the reason I think the Shanahans will not pull the trigger, is it shows EVERYONE that they made a mistake with regard to Grossman in the first place. Shanahan is probably not going to admit defeat with the benching of Grossman, when he has a winning record through 5 games.

In any case, I don’t think it’s rational to ditch Rex at this point. The Redskins are still in a good spot, in a division that appears nobody is going to run away with, and at the end of the day, Sunday was simply a loss to a desperate divisional opponent. Redskins’ fans rooting for the change should be careful for what you wish for. Pulling the trigger this week might be one week too early, a clear sign of desperation, and there would be no going beck, excuse me, back.


Follow us on twitter @sportsyack @JudgePatrick

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Random NFL Week 6 Thought: 'Drive' is Way More Entertaining Than 'Moneyball'

Carolina at Atlanta(-4)
The Cam Newton led Panthers are a 1/2 point from being 5-0 ATS through his first 5 NFL games. We've played against them twice so far this season, and we've come up big fat losers both times.

Matty Ice is due to step up, and Cam Newton is due to get involved in a game in which he and his team get their asses kicked. The Falcons were 13-3 last year people, 13-3!!! And as far as we can tell, they're still pretty much the same team, even adding Julio Jones to their offense.

They were just embarrassed at home for the second consecutive year, in front of a national audience, to the defending champion Packers. Trust me when I tell you, getting the Falcons here and laying well under a touchdown, is like stealing. Falcons in a romp.



Indianapolis at Cincinnati(-7)
This game's line looks too good to be true. Too "horrible" teams playing, and one of them is laying 7. You take the team getting the points, right? Wrong.

The Bengals, unbelievably, are 7-1 ATS in their last 8. Now granted, they're not usually laying a bunch of points in those games, but nonetheless, we like'm here.

The Colts are in panic mode, having not prepared for the future-errrr- drafted a QB over the last couple of years to apprentice under Peyton- and we think they're in punt formation from here forward. Their owner is on twitter way too much, and there was a report this week that they might be shopping Reggie Wayne. The Bengals are going to win this game 27-7, or some dumb blowout score like that.



Philadelphia at Washington(+1)
Andy Reid has been coaching like he's been smacking it up with his drug dealer sons. His defense is being led by their former Offensive line coach-wha,wha,what?..and the Eagles are currently dead last (tied for 32nd with the other inbred team from Pennsylvania) in the +/- turnover ratio, at (-10)

Here's the deal. We were leaning Eagles all week, but then we started thinking logically. The Eagles are a team in disarray. The before mentioned Reid has lost his team. In fact, Redskin fans can relate to whats going on up in Philly, as the Eagles are the latest team to win the offseason Super Bowl, only to have the real season results blow up in their ego infested faces.

The Eagles defense sucks. Mike Vick is getting hit on about 65% of the plays he's involved with. Shanahan getting extra week to prepare is 10-5, similar to his 13-4 season opener record. And the Redskins defense is currently 6th, a far cry from last year's 31st ranked disaster.

The Redskins will come out and punch the bewildered, much traveled Eagles right in the face. The devil's advocate says that the Eagles force the issue and make Rex throw the ball. The only problem with that, Phan Boy, is that the Eagles are 30th in rushing yards allowed, giving up over 140 per, and the Redskins are pounding the rock this year. The Eagles and their season goes down in flames here. Redskins



Buffalo at NY Giants(-3)
The Giants are coming off a bad home loss. They turned the ball over 5 times. 5 times! I don't care who you're playing, the World Champion Minnesota Lynx would've beat the Giants last week if the Giants turned the ball over that many times.

This game is real simple. Red faced Coughlin probably ripped his team a new one, and then restored order and had a good week of practice. Eli and crew will protect the ball this week. Eli is actually having a pretty good year, despite last week's meltdown. He's thrown 11 TDs and has a 102.3 passer rating.

The Bills are due for a good thumping. Somehow through 5 weeks, they've already managed to erase an 18+ point deficit, twice. This is our NFL October Game of the Month!!! Giants.


Last Week 2-1 ATS
YTD 9-8-1 ATS


Friday, October 7, 2011

Breaking the Shackles of .500

We can't seem to create any distance between ourselves and .500. Last week was looking pretty good when our lock, the home dog Arizona Cardinals, had a 10 point lead with under 4 minutes to play. Next thing we know the Giants fumbled, but didn't, then scored the go ahead touchdown, their second in less than a minute, crushing our dreams and breaking our bank.

However, we continue our torrid pace in the Junkies P1 league, where you're forced to pick every game on the board against the number. 39-25 ATS through 4 weeks, is good for T-3 out of 45 players.


New Orleans at Carolina (Under 51)
We like the under here for a couple reasons. For one, we're waiting for the rookie quarterback to play like a rookie quarterback. Through 4 weeks, Cam Newton has thrown for almost 1,400 yards (3rd in the league), has passed for 5 touchdowns, and run for 4. With Newton at the helm, the Panthers are scoring over 22 points per game, and have played in 3 of 4 OVERS already. This is the week that all comes crashing down.

Expect the Saints to score, and for the rook to turn the ball over in his attempts to keep up. We're counting on 4 weeks of game film to contribute to the Saints success in doing so. These two teams have played 8 straight UNDERS when they play in Carolina, and in 10 of their last 11 divisional games, the Saints have played UNDER.



Oakland (+6) at Houston
We think the Raiders are a lot better than people are giving them credit for. One thing we know they're doing for sure is running the ball. 1st in the entire league, at 179/game clip. That's impressive.

Also impressive is the Raiders ability to respond to defeat. Following their last 5 losses, they're 5-0 ATS the following week. Over the course of 14 losses, they're 12-2 ATS following those weeks.

We're still not sold on the Texans. They beat a beat up Steelers team last week at home, but lost to the Saints the week prior, giving up 30 points in the second half. And the Texans seem to be rotating star player injuries. After playing w/o Arian Foster the first few weeks, they're now going to be playing without Andre Johnson for possibly a month.

The Raiders can score, doing so at almost 28 points/per. And as we've mentioned, if they run the ball like they're capable of running it, this could be a moneyline win as well. Play the Raiders plus the points.



NY Jets at New England (-7.5)
The Jets are on the tail end of 3 consecutive road games. Brutal. They've lost the first two- at Oakland and at Baltimore. Brutal. They've given up 34 points in each of those losses, and they now get to face the league's #1 offense. Brutal, brutal, and brutal.

This game screams for us to play the "wounded animal" card, and take the Jets plus the big number. We're not doing it. The Jets don't scare us, and we think their foot fetish coach blew his load halfway through last year's Hard Knocks, and he doesn't scare us either. Him and his "Calvin Johnson would be the third best receiver on the Dallas Cowboys" brother, are two of the biggest blowhards in the game, and watching the Jets stumble to 7-9 this year, is going to be funny.

Bill Belichick's maligned defense will get healthy this week against Mark Sanchez' 25th ranked offense. The Jets caught the Patriots off guard in their third meeting last year in the divisional playoff round, but the previous two games between the two teams in Foxboro were brutal for the Jets; 45-3 and 31-14 losses.

The only entertaining aspect of this blowout that is eminent, is how the NY Post will opt to torch Rex Ryan come Monday morning. Patriots, big.




Last Week 2-3 ATS
YTD 7-7-1 ATS


Follow us on twitter @sportsyack @JudgePatrick

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Captain Calculated: Getting the Word Out


Chris Cooley is a friggin genius. Leave it to the Redskins starting (unless you're reading Dan Graziano's blogs) Tight End, to make waves with his words the week he and his team are trying to promote a couple of his "ventures".

Make no mistake about it, the Chaotic One knew exactly what his analysis of Dallas' aspiring pro golfer Quarterback would bring to the table; attention.

Speaking the truth to Lavar and Dukes about how things went down in the Lions/Cowboys game this past Sunday, #47 has managed to become the #1 search in Google searches (via Dan Steinberg's Sportsbog), which most certainly has driven up the traffic to his website, his twitter, and everyone else's twitter sites that are associated with 47.

Cooley has parlayed his comments about the less than stable Quarterback of the hated Cowboys, into at least 6 post-Lavar/Dukes interviews we know of, including Jim Rome on Wednesday. This bodes all too well for the polarizing Redskin Tight End, who has a vested interest in bringing some attention to a couple Cooley ventures.

For starters, and most importantly, his 3rd Annual Cooley's For The Cure http://chriscooley47.blogspot.com/, which is a fund raiser for breast cancer charities, will be held this Monday, October 10th, at the Clyde's in Ashburn. According to his site, the $65/head event will include food and drink, Redskin players hanging around, and there will also be an auction. The event is scheduled from 7pm to 10pm.

The second vested interest from Cooley Inc that would benefit from a lot of attention, is a reality show that Chris' brother Tanner is trying to launch. Along with Big O (Oscar Santana), The Regulars http://theregulars.tv/, is about two regulars who travel around the region seeking out local hangouts. The concept seems good to us, certainly Travel Channel worthy. And maybe with a few (thousand) more eyes taking a look at their pilot episode, courtesy of Romo's play and Cooley's say, The Regulars will be coming to a TV near you.





Follow us on twitter @sportsyack @JudgePatrick


Cooley pic via Flickr (ogertkraja)

Thursday, September 29, 2011

NFL Week 4: Tony Romo Invented Oxygen


5-4-1 thru 3 weeks. We got healthy last week with a Bills ATS and moneyline win. Monday night on twitter, we gave out the Redskins/Cowboys under (winner). We have picked every game in a Junkies fan sponsored league we're in, and we're 31-17 ATS thru 3 weeks, good enough for 2nd out of 46 participants. Won't you join me?


Detroit/Dallas (Under 46)
Tony Romo is coming off the game of his life. At least that's what Jaws and Jon Gruden told me, right after they removed Romo's cock out of their collective mouths.

Tony Romo got married over the off season, and reportedly conducted a game of hide-n-seek at his bachelor party. That was the party goers choice, over Romo's other options of spin the bottle and truth or dare.

Detroit has played 3 straight OVERs, Jerr's team has played 2 of 3 OVERs thru three weeks, and the last 3 times these two teams have met, the scoring has gone north of 54. Not today, sports fans! Dallas and Detroit enter this contest with the #5 and #6 ranked defenses. Expect Detroit to keep it close to the vest, in their first real test to determine if "they're for real". This is a 21-17 game. Under.


Minnesota at KC (+1.5)
The Chefs, and no I didn't misspell that, have had a dreadful first few weeks. They're 0-3, and they lost their first two games 41-7 and 48-3. Last week against the best/worst coach to ever coach in the NFL, they hung around, but eventually lost to Norville Turner's Chargers, 20-17.

The people of Minnesota are already fed up with the wristband-less antics of that fat, out of shape DONEovan McNubb. We read at least 3 Minnesota based articles this week, calling for his benching. Don't think too much about this one. The Chiefs are going to roll in what will be the didn't see it coming blow out of the weekend.



SF at Philly(-9/moneyline/survivor league/whatever else the fuck you can bet it)
Michael Vick's pap smear results came back, and from what we can tell, his clitoris is fully in tact. That fucking dog killer/cry baby/now millionaire created some controversy last week with his post game comments about not getting enough roughing the passer calls.

He seemed to be teetering on the edge of saying it was racial when he said, "Those honkie, mother fucking, whitey bitche refs never throw the mother fucking flag when they hit me!!!...Sheeeet, man!!!"

**Disclaimer** We made those Mike Vick quotes up. **Disclaimer**

In other (factual) news, via Mike Florio at Profootballtalk, through 3 weeks of games in the NFL, Jason Campbell has drawn the most roughing the QB calls.....

Listen up. The west coast to east coast 1pm start here is in extra full effect. Those poor bastards from Frisco should send Carlos Rogers to NY to give Roger Goodell a handjob for this scheduling bullshit. (Redskin fans might get that joke)

In the last 7 days, the 49ers flew from Frisco to Cincinnati, Ohio, where they beat the Bengals last Sunday. They then flew back home to California. Now they get to get on a plane, and fly across country again to play the Eagles at 1pm eastern this Sunday. Forget about it, 49er fan. Eagles cover it all.

***It came to our attention after we already wrote this masterpiece, that the 49ers stayed in Youngstown, Ohio all week, and did NOT fly back and forth across country. In any case, they stayed in Youngstown fucking Ohio all week. All handicapping reasons we stated above should still apply. Eagles***



Redskins(-1.5) at St.Louis
Dear degenerate gamblers everywhere (yes, I'm listening), you can thank ESPN and their one-way reporting Monday night, for influencing the masses into thinking this is a field goal or less game.

Redskin fan or not, run down to your nearest book(ie) and bet the mortgage on this one. Shanahan and Sons will exploit the pourus(dead last) rush defense of the Rams, and will win this game going away. Skins defense has improved from 31st to 16th, and is allowing the 5th fewest points in the league. The old Skins would probably lose here. This ain't the old Skins, hater.Redskins.



NY Giants at Arizona(+1)
This is our biggest lock of the weekend!!! Simply put, we don't think the Giants are very good. And even coming off that impressive win in Philly, here is our take:

Tom Coughlin, who we respect and think is a great coach(seriously), got his players all in last Sunday against the Eagles. The Giants were coming off 6 quarters of mediocre football. An awful second half vs. the Redskins, and an as bad as you can play and still win a game game against the Rams. Their game last weekend, going into Philly and smacking that ass, was a "WE GOT TO GET IT DONE, FELLAS!!!" type game.

The Cardinals are coming off back to back tough road losses. 22-21 at Washington, and 13-10 at Seattle. Expect a Cardinals team ready to play, and ready to punch an average at best Giants team right in the face, who will be fresh from their cross country flight.

Yeah, we emphasize travel a bit much, but we use priceline.com, and we get travel deals!!! Bill Shatner has morphed into a bloated pig. Eli Manning has morphed into a horrible quarterback. 20-10 Cardinals.





Last week 1-1 ATS
YTD 5-4-1 ATS



Follow us on twitter @sportsyack @JudgePatrick

Go Giants!!!! Go Cowboys!!!!....Did I Just Say That? #RedskinsTalk

By. Mike Baxter, @sportsyack Another week of NFC games in the books, and yet another week of uncertainty of who might be playing post...