Sunday, December 4, 2011
NFL Week 13: A Four Pack of Winners
Kansas City at Chicago(-7)
Da Bears had covered 5 straight going into last week's road loss at Oakland. Expect Da Bears to get their ship anchored back in Cover Harbor this week, as some guy named Tyler Palko will have his hands under center for the Chiefs. Judge Patrick tells me Tyler Palko shouldn't be within 5 miles of an NFL huddle, let alone inside of one. Da Bears will score 7 or 14 points via their defense/special teams. Da Bears.
Oakland at Miami(-3)
The Dolphins have covered 5 straight and could easily be riding a 4 game winning streak, barely losing at Dallas on Thanksgiving. Prior to Dallas and during that streak, Miami was beating teams in (kind of) blowout fashion. 35-8, 20-9, and 31-3. We like the extra rest for Miami(first game in 10 days), and don't like the West Coast to East Coast 1pm start for Oakland. 20-14 Fish.
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh(-6.5)
The Bengals had to come from behind last week to beat a not very good Browns team. That was on the heels of back to back divisional losses to Baltimore and to the team that hails from Big Hair, Big Ass, Big Truck Nation, who they play again today. The Steelers were flat last week coming out of their bye week, and barely beat a Chiefs team in a game that they were double digit favorites. Expect a nice rebound against their divisional opponents from Southern Ohio.
The Steelers have beat the Bengals 3 straight, and there is one factor here that we think is getting overlooked; Andy Dalton. The guy has played very well this year, but he's still a rookie, playing at Pittsburgh, in December. Bottomline, the Big Ass, Big Haired girlfriends of all those hillbilly assholes waving Terrible Towels and defending Joe Paterno, will be happy by game's end. 34-13 Steelers.
Dallas at Arizona(+4.5)
The Cowboys continue to escape in games in which they play not very good teams, twice in two weeks, in fact. Two weeks ago Washington (twice this year) and Miami on Thanksgiving. From our vantage point, there still seems to be a bit of a country club atmosphere under skinny, younger Wade Phillips, Jason Garrett. They're 27th in the league in most penalties committed, and the Thanksgiving "win" over Miami was a shining example of what they're capable of. 11 penalties committed, and a dumb timeout because of their inability to properly lineup for a Miami field goal attempt.
We like the points here. The Cardinals have won 3 out of their last 4, and have been impressive at times. They had a very good Ravens team dead to rights 5 weeks ago in Baltimore, and somehow let that game slip away. Expect Larry Fitzgerald to have a big day against what is an awful Dallas secondary. Dallas has lost in Arizona the last two times these teams played there. 24-21 Cardinals.
Last Week 2-1 ATS
YTD 24-13-3 ATS
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