Friday, October 26, 2012

NFL Week 8: Triple D(s)

Seattle at Detroit (-1.5)
Somewhere along the way, the Kitty Kats went from the next up and coming team with guys like Matthew Stafford and Megatron and Ndamukong Suh, to the what the hell happened, Kitties?...with losses this year to teams like Tennessee and fraudulent (did you see last night?) Minnesota. And Stafford, Megatron, and Suh are all still there. So what's up with that, @CubLion?

Pump the brakes, Yack. The Lions are still a good team, and capable of making a run over their last 10 games. That's right, panic attackers. The Lions have 10 games left. And they've just come off a stretch of 4 out of 5 games on the road, and they should be coming off back to back road wins. Anyone who watched their Monday night loss at Chicago, clearly could see that the Kitties gift wrapped that W for da Bears.

Just look at the numbers. The Kitties out gained da Bears 340 to 296, and they turned the ball over 3 times in the Red Zone (one being a muffed punt). It was a far from impressive win by da Bears, and it was an ugly, out of sync loss by da Kitties. Fast forward to this week and Yack's October NFL ATS Game of the Month!!!

I love this spot for the Lions. They are a wounded Lion, they're catching a team who is AWFUL on the back end of back to back roadies under Pete Carroll (0-3 ATS in this role), and the Lions are a team that has a lot of talent, who will make a Wildcard run before its all said and done. Beat down in Detroit Rock City. 31-10 Lions.



NY Giants at Dallas (+1)
Don't give up on the Cowboys, Dallas haters. Listen, nobody likes to see those C-suckers lose more than I do, but this is not going to be one of those weeks. And Dallas, who was on a lot of people's radars prior to the start of the season, has seemed to be put on the back burner by those same prognosticators.

They've just come off back to back roadies, and went 1-1 on it. They won ugly at Carolina, and pushed Baltimore to the brink in Charm City, before coming  up a 2 point conversion attempt short.

The rest of their resume reads: A beat down administered to these same Giants in Week 1, a loss at Seattle, which is one of the toughest places to play (ask New England and Green Bay*), a home win against an upstart Tampa team, and YES, a bad home loss to a Bears team who I'm actually a little suspect of. But I'm giving the Cowboys a pass on that one....

The G-men had an impressive W against the 49ers two weeks ago. Props to them, but then again, they match up well. (See NFC Championship Game 2011). And I'm using the match up angle here too, because the trends lean towards NYG.

That Week 1 beat down was just that, a mother f**king beat down. Dallas dominated in every statistical category from time of possession (35min to 25 min) , first downs (18-15), and Dallas out gained the G-men by almost a 2:1 margin. And the game wasn't even nearly as close as the final score. The Cowboys had a 14 point lead with 5 minutes to play and gave up a garbage TD late. Keep thinking the Giants are the class of the NFC East, you crazy experts. The Super Bowl hangover will rear its ugly head this season, and you'll see signs of it this Sunday. 30-17 Cowboys.



New Orleans at Denver (-6)
After starting the season 0-4, the team whose fans used to wear bags on their heads have rebounded with two straight wins. However, the Saints defense is an absolute disaster. They're yielding over 300 passing yards/game and 30 points/game, both good for a 30th rank in NFL defensive stats.

I like Denver coming off the bye week, and so does Vegas. Denver is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following a bye week, hence what might appear to be an inflated line, aka "sucker line", Saints fan.

The Saints are scoring points (29/per game), but they are not stopping anybody. And their secondary is a bigger disaster than Washington's. Couple that with the back to back roadie angle, and Who Dat Nation will be requesting paper over plastic again. Broncos win 35-24.



Last Night                      1-0 ATS (Ruff-Ruff)
Barking Dogs YTD     11-3 ATS (phenomenal)
Totals YTD                    3-0 ATS  (off the charts)
Last Week                    2-2 ATS  (Kissing your sister and paying vig)

OVERALL
YTD                         17-10-1 ATS (63%)
Since 2010               92-51-8 ATS (64%)


One final D....Mr. Hall with his shadow Baba Boo-errr, I mean Mr. Oates. Pour yourself a cognac, and go pound your man.



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