|Chalk One Up For Crazy. #Winning|
I have picked against the Charm City Crowes this entire post season (and I'm 0-2 ATS by doing so), and at the request of the Charm City Crowes biggest fan, Matt "Picking NCAABB games ATS like its going out of Style" Valdez, I'm not going to stop here.
In reality, reader, I have been back and forth with this game for over a week now. However, I do believe I've come to my senses, and I'm going to go with the team who I believe (1) has better athletes across the board, and (2) at the end of the day, has the better defense.
Look at all the key positions on both sides of the ball. Other than the Special Teams, the 49er position players are more athletic or in the least, equal to that of his Raven counterpart.
Quarterback: Colin K. is the superior athlete to Joe F, but Joe F. has more post season experience, obviously. I'll still give the edge to the kid whose more athletic and more mobile. 49ers
Running Back: Frank Gore and Ray Rice are about even. Statistically speaking, Gore was ranked slightly higher, but Rice's 4th and 29 versus SD is worth something. Even
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends: Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis are better than any two wide outs the Ravens will trot out on Sunday. However, collectively, I think the Ravens have more options, and they spread the ball around more. But athletically speaking, 49ers
Defense: The 49ers are younger and statistically better. And although the Ravens are on a bit of a heater as of late (beat Peyton Manning in Denver/beat Tom Brady in Foxboro), I'll put my chips on the youth of San Fran. 49ers
Special Teams: David Akers has been a shit show this season (29-42, next to DFL in the league) for Frisco, and Baltimore's rookie Justin Tucker has been (30-33) solid all season. The Ravens were 1st in KO return yards, but they did give up two TD returns to Denver in the Divisional Round. Ravens
Other than the difference in skill position, and the overall athleticism of the 49ers, I also think Frisco's post season resume is more impressive. Its time to be critical, degens, and no offense to Baltimore, but lets be real here. Your first round win versus Indy almost a month ago, not that impressive. You were sluggish at home, and granted you pulled away late, but you were extremely fortunate that the Colts WR/RB/TEs opted to catch footballs that day the same way old people f**k; poorly.
|Deer Antler Spray Isn't Going to Help This Guy Today|
Which brings me to two weeks ago. Finally, Baltimore. You played like a playoff team that deserves to be there. Your second half against New England in Foxboro was quite impressive. You held the Putz to less than 200 yards of total offense, 0 points, and you had those bitches Tom Brady and Bill Belidick sulking. Good on you.
But your fairy tale ride led by "God is Amaaaaazing!!!" Ray-Ray is going to come crashing down in a big way today.
The 49ers are quicker, they're better defensively, and and they will win in a rout. They absolutely dismantled Aaron Rodgers and the Pack, and then after yielding 17 points while getting thru their jet lag from flying across country, promptly outscored Atlanta 28-7 over the final 2.5 quarters of that football game. I also like their resume better over the last month of the season.
Over the last month of the season, Frisco pounded New England in New England (AFC/Super Bowl fave), pounded Green Bay (NFC/Super Bowl fave), and then flew across country and took care of the NFC's #1 seed. I realize that Baltimore was impressive in their win against New England as well, but I still can't ignore the not so impressive stuff.
Like their loss and then almost loss to a not very good Steeler team. And don't tell me, "Well, those are rivalry games, Yack!", I don't give a shit. Pittsburgh is old, they finished 8-8, and ultimately, they were not a good team this year.
I'll also go back (for the 3rd time) to San Diego. Yes, the game in which the Ravens pulled their first miracle out of their ass this season. Raven fan, that game should not have come down to Ray Rice's miracle screen catch and run for 28-errrrrrr, I mean 29.5 yards (thanks, Ref). The Chargers were putrid this season. How did you let them hang around and pretty much beat you? Super Bowl winning teams don't allow that.
|Today's First Player to Score and MVP. #VD|
Its been 10 years since the big game has produced what pretty much was a blowout-bore fest. Welcome to 2013 and New Orleans, Louisiana, people. I think this game could get out of hand and be for all intents and purposes, "over, Johnny" by midway through the 3rd quarter. I think Joe Flacco's run of perfection is due to go the other way, and I see the 49ers defense smothering and containing the Ravens to next to nothing. Take the 49ers against the number, and consider a smallish parlay with the over. 42-17 San Francisco.
Last Week 1-1 ATS
YTD 46-44-2 ATS
Since 2010 121-85-9 ATS