|Talk To The Hand|
This is a perfect storm game for New England bettors, and I'm jumping on board. The underdog Jets, who everyone was having fun with bitch slapping leading up to the regular season, pulled one out of their ass in Week 1 against Tampa. Meanwhile, Belichick and Brady escaped Buffalo in a game they should've lost. The Patriots are banged up and Geno Smith is giving the Jets faithful hope. Don't get caught up in the narrative, and don't shy away from the big number here.
Following the Jets comeback win, everyone was talking about the personal foul committed on Smith that put the Jets into field goal range. However, the Bucs committed 13 penalties that day and the hit out of bounds was simply the bow on top of the present they gave New York. Don't expect that much laundry on the field this week per New England, as Belichick teams are usually the most disciplined in the league, and committed just 4 penalties against Buffalo.
Don't lose track of the pre-season talk; the Jets still suck, and Rex "Foot Fetish" Ryan is still on his way out. Belichick and Brady have won 4 straight against Ryan and the Jets, including absolute blowouts in two of the last three (49-19 and 37-16).
The Patriots in Foxboro are virtually unbeatable against their division foes. They've won 16 of 17 SU, covered 13 of those 17 games, and the Brady/Belichick marriage is a perfect 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in Foxboro when facing a rookie QB. In fact, in all 4 of those games versus "the rook", the Patriots have prevailed by 14 points or more. 33-13 Patriots.
Last Week 3-2 ATS
YTD 3-2 ATS (60%)
Follow along here as "Yack" pursues excellence in the 2013 Las Vegas Hilton Super Contest. @Sportsyack on twitter.