Sunday, January 3, 2016

Update on The Westgate Contest, and My Thoughts on Minnesota/Green Bay

The Legend and I's Westgate Buy-in
For a third straight NFL season, myself and The Legend have come up limp in the Westgate Super Contest. And for a third straight year, my NFL handicapping percentage is below .500. And for someone who went an impressive 69% against the number during the 2011 campaign, the last three years have been as humbling as erectile dysfunction while in a whore house.

Hence the reason I haven't posted the picks this week, or the week before. Because essentially, we're done and have been done.

And although the Westgate does have a $15,000 bonus for whomever does the best over the last 3 weeks of the year, I torpedoed our chances of winning that with my typical 2-3 ATS effort in Week 14. You basically need to go 13-2 or better over the last 3 weeks to have a chance to win the bonus. So dropping three "L"s in the first week of the Bonus contest, essentially sealed our fate. In fact, The Legend told me-in so many words, which included some 'fucks' 'worthless piece of shit' 'no good, know nothing cocksucker'- to not even bother putting in Weeks 16 and 17, and saving him the 25 minute drive to the Strip from his "affluent, gated community" in the burbs of Sin City.

So anyway...

I do have a take on one game today, a game that actually means something in this Week 17 card of mostly worthless, meaningless games. That would be on the Vikings/Packers night cap.

My first take on this game is the point spread, and how fishy and stinky it is. How are the Packers at home- in a win and you're division champs and you have a home playoff game next week- only 3 point faves? How are Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, on National TV under the lights with Al "Point Spread" Michaels and Cris Collinsworth on the call, only laying a field goal to Teddy B. and the Vikes?

You got me. But it stinks.

This line reeks of "Please, general public, jump all over the Packers at home laying just a field goal. We're going to need your money to offset the smart money we're getting on Minnesota."

Secondly, the Packers have not been impressive all year, and the Vikings at times, have. Check that, the Packers were impressive to start the year on a 6-0 heater. But they're just 4-5 since, Aaron Rodgers hasn't looked like Aaron Rodgers, and the Packers offensive line is simply that, offensive. Rodgers has been sacked 41 times on the season, and Arizona put a 9 piece on Green Bay last weekend. As in 9 sacks. In one game.

Green Bay also has what I would call 3 bad losses, although their record only indicates that 2 of those 3 losses occurred. Home losses to the Bears and Lions, and what should've been a season sweeping second loss to Detroit, if not for that miracle Hail Mary at the end.

Minnesota has been really impressive all year, with maybe the exception of two games- home losses to Seattle and these Green Bay Packers. But they competed on the road in 3 point losses to very good Arizona and Denver teams, and now they have a chance to reach 11 wins for the year, avenging the before mentioned loss to their divisional foe.

Teddy Bridgewater has been on a major heater lately, playing almost as good as anyone in the league over the last 3 weeks. He's completed 70% of his passes, thrown 6 TDs to Zero INTs, and his 123.2 QB Rating is only second to Kirk Cousins over that span.

This is not your Aaron Rodgers team of old, Packer fan. They're 24th in the league in total offense, which is the worst a Packer offense has been since before the Brett Favre era, 1991. Do yourself a favor, and tell your man to stick the juice where the sun don't shine. Never mind the point spread, and taking what will be a meaningless 3 points. Swallow up the value, and pound the Vikings on the money line. 27-23 Vikings. 

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